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Period and Cohort Analysis of Inter-provincial Lifetime Migration in China
Zhou Hao, Lei Linxuan
Population Research    2023, 47 (6): 107-125.  
Abstract166)      PDF (2627KB)(82)       Save
Birthplace information is crucial for migration studies, enabling identification of lifetime migrants. Using data from 2000, 2010, and 2020 censuses, this research depicts inter-provincial lifetime migration in China, outlines national- and provincial-level migration trends, directions, and age patterns. The results suggest that lifetime migration reflects historical and contemporary migration, while the historical marks gradually fade. Its spatial distribution shows the characteristics of diffusion for the places of origin and diffusion-and-concentration for the destinations, while China's population remains relatively static. Cohort analysis highlights that lifetime migration has a cumulative effect over time and is closely associated with life events. The study concludes that birthplace information has a unique research perspective distinct from others, and calls for further research on the conditions and causal mechanisms of bidirectional migration flows.
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Destination Selection Mechanism of Migrants in China
Zhou Hao, Liu Wenbo
Population Research    2022, 46 (1): 37-53.  
Abstract833)      PDF (16475KB)(231)       Save
Based on the 2017 China Migrants Dynamic Survey and data from relevant statistical yearbooks, this paper uses nested logit model (NLGT) to analyse the destination selection mechanism of floating population in China. This study takes prefecture regions as the basic geographical analysis unit and the flow sample as the research object. The results show significant structural differences between flow sample and stock sample, and heterogeneous effects of the same variables on different samples. The socioeconomic returns that floating population can personally feel play an important role in the destination selection mechanism. The interaction between regional level and individual characteristics shows that regional level characteristics have a heterogeneous effect on the selection mechanism. The paper suggests that focusing on flow or stock samples should be based on the specific study aim of different research questions. Expected socioeconomic return, rather than expected income, is one of the most important factors attracting floating population. The destination selection is a rational and comprehensive decision made by floating population based on individual characteristics and the regional level characteristics of the destination.
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A Comparative Study on the Population Structure of Migrants from Two Perspectives
Zhou Hao
Population Research    2019, 43 (5): 81-95.  
Abstract319)      PDF (3548KB)(340)       Save

Based on data of China Migrants Dynamic Survey (CMDS) conducted in the origin and destination in 2015, this paper compares the structural differences of the floating population under the two survey perspectives, with the mini-census in 2015 as the benchmark. The results suggest that the survey conducted in origin is closer to the results of the mini-census in age structure, marriage, and distance of movement. The survey conducted in destination is closer to the mini-census in terms of residence time. Women in the destination areas and short-term (1 year or less) migrants in the origin areas are over-sampled. Both surveys focus on the population of low education level while neglecting the population with college degree or above. From the perspective of survey methodology, recruiting different respondents is one of the most important sources of survey errors, especially measurement errors. In addition to coverage error, non-response error is also one of the important factors affecting the survey results and sample structures.

 

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Selectivity Bias in the Effect of Migration on Fertility
Zhou Hao
Population Research    2015, 39 (1): 14-.  
Abstract1148)      PDF (139KB)(1425)       Save
With the counter-factual causal inference framework,this paper employs various propensity score matching methods to explore the effect of selectivity of migration on the fertility level of floating population in China,and estimates and compares migrant and non-migrant fertility levels after controlling for the selectivity bias. Both lifetime fertility( children ever born) and period fertility( births in the year proceeding the census) are examined using data from the 2000 census. Heckman 2-stage model shows that the observed difference between migrant and non-migrant fertility is biased due to selectivity of migration. The consistent results from three types of propensity score matching methods demonstrate that migrant fertility is markedly lower than non-migrant fertility,and a larger proportion of the difference is explained by the selectivity. Anyway,the study suggests that migration does reduce fertility.
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Cited: Baidu(1)
Measurement and Theoretical Perspectives of Immigrant Assimilation in China
Zhou Hao
Population Research    2012, 36 (3): 27-37.  
Abstract3826)      PDF (375KB)(4126)       Save
After summarizing the theories and measurement indices of assimilation,this paper examines and re-constructs the measurement framework of assimilation at individual level,followed by discussing some theoretical questions of assimilation in present China.Assimilation could be one point on the line connecting adaptation,segmented assimilation and assimilation.Measurement indices framework of immigrant assimilation in destination should be simplified with high validity,corresponding to the theories.Assimilation can be divided into five dimensions: economic,cultural,social,structural and identity.Future research should be directed at the final direction of the assimilation of migrants,and the causal chain centered on the assimilation(the status and the causes and consequences of assimilations),and longitudinal or panel survey studies should be enhanced to understand the situation and development trajectory of assimilation of migrants in China.
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Development of the Psychological Status of Migrant Children:An Analysis Based on "Panel Survey on the Development of Migrant Children"
Zhou Hao
Population Research    2010, 34 (2): 66-75.  
Abstract1608)      PDF (1699KB)(1217)       Save
This paper examines the psychological status and its development trajectory of migrant children based on three-wave survey data of "Panel Study on the Development of Migrant Children"(PSDMC).Despite the fact that psychological status has been improving for all three groups of children,when measured by loneliness and depression,psychological status of migrant children is worse than that of resident children.The development trajectory of migrant children who study in public schools is the same as that of the resident children,while it is vastly different from that of migrant children who study in migrant schools.And as one aspect of psychological status stemming from social inequality,depression of migrant children studying in migrant schools has not been improved in the three waves of PSDMC.
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Return Migration in China:An Analysis of the Fifth Census Data
Zhou Hao,Liang Zai
Population Research    2006, 30 (3): 61-69.  
Abstract1203)      PDF (1076KB)(1148)       Save
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Cited: Baidu(15)